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February 04, 2006

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Blackjack Card Counting - Is It Worth It? Well It Probably Won't Make You Rich!   by sacha tarkovsky

 

Can you make a lot of money using basic strategy and blakcjack card counting?

If you think about it, the odds are not as good as they may seem.

Here's why..

Basic Strategy

The house edge can be diminished to just less than 1%, if the player uses basic strategy.

Blackjack card counting is then supposed to put the odds really in favor of the player, but does it do it enough to make it worthwhile?

You can play with a small advantage with basic strategy, now lets look how much better we can make the odds with blackjack card counting.

The Myth Of Card Counting

Blackjack card counting was introduced by an IBM computer scientist, Edward O. Thorp who published "Beat the Dealer" in 1962.

The book introduced card counting to a global audience and many were attracted to its logic and method.

Essentially the blackjack card counting Thorpe introduced considered the ten-valued cards and the Aces as "positive", and the cards 2 to 6 as "negative". If the net result in the remaining deck was positive, the player must increase the bet size.

The method had visible results when only one deck was used and very few cards remained in the deck.

You won't get rich card counting!

The casinos now use multiple deck blackjack decks which make the number of cards coming out more and the odds of card counting working decline.

Let's make an assumption

That blackjack card counting, realistically CAN give a 1.5 - 2% advantage to the player over, with the advantage of a single deck, so things can only get worse on games with more decks or unfavorable rules.

1.5 - 2% is a narrow margin if you are trying to make a good income out of it, for the effort involved!

Card counting is NOT a predictive theory

The fact is, blackjack card counting is not a predictive theory as many novices believe; it simply tries to crudely calculate the odds of cards coming out of the pack.

There are huge number of permutations of cards coming out, so even if the odds are in your favor, doesn't mean you are going to win! You need to play for a long time for the odds to even themselves out.

Of course, over a long period of time (and I mean long) things will even themselves out, but there will be a lot of ups and downs in between of equity to smooth out.

If you think about it, when the best advantage you can get is up to 2% in a best case scenario, are you going to make enough money to make the effort you put in worthwhile?

Do the maths and figure it out for yourself.

There is not enough room in this article to cover all the mathematics, but it's a lot of effort for a very small return overtime.

Don't waste your time blackjack card counting

If you want to make big money in relation to effort, you need another game where you can increase your advantage to a level where you can earn BIG money and this means competing directly against other players

A better return for the effort

So forget blackjack card counting and learn poker.

Why?

Not only can you calculate odds and have a strategy, you also have a lot of ways to get the better of your opponent through psychological strategy and win big.

keep in mind, you don't even have to have the best hand to win!

Poker presents a better challenge and a better opportunity to win Big Money.

How many rich card counters have you heard of?

If you believe that there are blackjack card counters who have made huge money, search the net and see how many you find with substantiated winnings.

Next, try a search against poker players who have made a fortune and you will see for yourself.

Find out more about casino games and getting a playing edge...

For more on blackjack card counting, tips, strategies and free e-zines on all casino game, go to http://www.net-planet.org/gaming.html

About the Author

Find out more about casino games and getting a playing edge...

For more on blackjack card counting, tips, strategies and free e-zines on all casino game, go to http://www.net-planet.org/gaming.html

January 25, 2006

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My Casino Blackjack Variation Game.....

 

By: Kerry Mann
I have played millions of hands of blackjack. I started sneaking into the casinos when I was 16. I have played online blackjack, I have counted cards, and worked with a team for a short while. With all that said I have still lost a lot of money at blackjack. The casinos have made it nearly impossible to beat the game.

I still enjoy the game and play on a regular basis. Over the years I have played a variation of blackjack called "The Take it Leave it Method". You will not get rich with this method or beat the house, however you will have a lot of fun. This method is based on the fact that blackjack seems to be a game of streaks. When you're hot your hot, and when your not you're NOT! So this is what I do-

I play basic strategy blackjack. When I lose I bet the table minimum on the next hand. Lets say $5 . If I lose again I bet $5 again etc. Once I win I take the $5 paid to me and bet $5 again. If I win this hand I leave the $5 paid to me and bet $10 total. If I win again I take the $10 paid to me, and if I win the next hand I leave it for a total of $20. I keep betting this way "Take it Leave it etc". Once I lose I lower the bet back down to $5.

I am very strict and never "chicken out". It gets very exciting sometimes. If you win a few hands in the row your bets go up very quick. Before you know it you are betting $100-200/ hand. I have had great streaks a few times now. I left a $5 table at the Luxor a few years back with $750 after 45 minutes using this method! And a few months ago in Vegas I left a table with $1200!

You must understand that you can lose much faster this way too!. But it really makes the game more exciting. And you will be surpised at the streaks you notice playing this way. Below is a chart of what you would bet if you kept winning at a $10 table.

Bet$10 Take $10 paid to you Bet$10 Leave $10 paid to you for a total bet of $20 Bet$20 Take $20 paid to you Bet$20 Leave $20 paid to you for a total bet of $40 Bet$40 Take $40 paid to you Bet$40 Leave $40 paid to you for a total bet of $80 Bet$80 Take $80 paid to you Bet$80 Leave $80 paid to you for a total bet of $160 Bet$160 Take $160 paid to you Bet$160 Leave $160 paid to you for a total bet of $320 Bet$320 Take $320 paid to you

If you left at this point you would be up $630 !!

Its dificult to go on a streak this long, but it does happen. And when it does you must NOT deviate and lower your bet or the end result won't be the same.

Have fun

About the Author: Kerry Mann is a professional Online poker player and writer. He makes his living playing poker on the internet. Visit his website for more information on making a living at online poker: http://www.pokerliving.net